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2024-12-14 10:37:18

A-shares: the gold content of small highs is improving. Will the stock market get worse next week?This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.In terms of sectors, except for cultural media, games, tourist hotels, textiles and clothing, the other sectors have generally declined. It can be said that today is a day for traditional consumption and new consumption in gallants, but other sectors have become a foil! The drop list is very unexpected. Insurance has started bungee jumping in the past two days. Traditional industries and technology growth stocks have no difference, and the style is magical.


Finally, the gold content of the technical small high point has increased, and there is a high probability that the market will stop falling and stabilize next week. This week's rhythm was expected by the news, and it was really difficult to operate. However, on Tuesday, after Lao Liu suggested a small high point, he gave two pressure levels and two support levels when he repaired the rebound on Wednesday. Now it is needless to say that he went up. Let's look at the short-term trend line and the triangular upper rail pressure line.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.


In terms of sectors, except for cultural media, games, tourist hotels, textiles and clothing, the other sectors have generally declined. It can be said that today is a day for traditional consumption and new consumption in gallants, but other sectors have become a foil! The drop list is very unexpected. Insurance has started bungee jumping in the past two days. Traditional industries and technology growth stocks have no difference, and the style is magical.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.

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